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VCreek/AMG

9 scored general-election polls (2018–2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.

Record by cycle

CyclePollsAvg. ErrorLeanWinner Called
2020 7 9.6 pts D+7.9 71%
2018 2 15.9 pts R+15.9 0%

Every scored poll

DateRacePoll MarginActualErrorCalled It
2020-11-10 GA Senate R+3.9 D+2.1 6.0 ✗
2020-10-26 KS Senate R+3.6 R+11.4 7.9 ✓
2020-09-29 KS-4 House R+14.0 R+27.3 13.3 ✓
2020-09-29 KS-3 House D+20.0 D+10.1 9.9 ✓
2020-09-29 KS-2 House R+11.0 R+14.5 3.5 ✓
2020-09-29 KS-1 House R+31.0 R+42.3 11.3 ✓
2020-09-29 KS Senate D+3.5 R+11.4 15.0 ✗
2018-10-14 OK-5 House R+16.0 D+1.4 17.4 ✗
2018-09-24 OK-5 House R+13.0 D+1.4 14.4 ✗

Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.

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