University of Akron Ray C. Bliss Institute of Applied Politics
3 scored general-election polls (2016–2018) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-09-22 | OH Governor | R+1.0 | R+3.7 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-22 | OH Senate | D+12.0 | D+6.9 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-02 | OH President | D+3.0 | R+8.1 | 11.1 | ✗ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.