TX Hispanic Policy Foundation
3 scored general-election polls (2022–2024) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-18 | TX President | R+6.0 | R+13.7 | 7.7 | ✓ |
| 2024-05-17 | TX President | R+7.0 | R+13.7 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-10 | TX Governor | R+7.0 | R+10.9 | 3.9 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.