TargetPoint
9 scored general-election polls (2016–2018) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-10-15 | VA-10 House | Even | D+12.4 | 12.4 | — |
| 2018-10-15 | VA-5 House | R+5.0 | R+6.5 | 1.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-15 | TX-2 House | R+9.0 | R+7.3 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-15 | PA-1 House | D+4.0 | R+2.5 | 6.5 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-15 | OH-16 House | R+9.0 | R+13.5 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-15 | NY-21 House | R+10.0 | R+9.8 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-15 | CO-6 House | D+5.0 | D+11.2 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-15 | CA-45 House | R+8.0 | D+4.1 | 12.1 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-09 | WI-1 House | R+22.0 | R+34.7 | 12.7 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.