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Starboard Communications

3 scored general-election polls (2016–2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.

Record by cycle

CyclePollsAvg. ErrorLeanWinner Called
2020 2 2.6 pts D+2.6 100%
2016 1 3.3 pts D+3.3 100%

Every scored poll

DateRacePoll MarginActualErrorCalled It
2020-10-26 SC Senate R+9.4 R+10.3 0.9 ✓
2020-10-26 SC President R+7.3 R+11.7 4.4 ✓
2016-10-30 SC President R+11.0 R+14.3 3.3 ✓

Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.

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