SocialSphere
10 scored general-election polls (2014–2018) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-10-07 | RI Governor | D+8.0 | D+15.5 | 7.5 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-07 | RI Senate | D+24.0 | D+23.1 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-28 | MA Governor | R+7.0 | R+1.9 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-20 | MA Governor | R+9.0 | R+1.9 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-13 | MA Governor | Even | R+1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| 2014-10-06 | MA Governor | D+5.0 | R+1.9 | 6.9 | ✗ |
| 2014-09-29 | MA Governor | R+3.0 | R+1.9 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-22 | MA Governor | R+2.0 | R+1.9 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-15 | MA Governor | D+3.0 | R+1.9 | 4.9 | ✗ |
| 2014-09-15 | MA Senate | D+26.0 | D+23.9 | 2.1 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.