Riley Research Associates
3 scored general-election polls (2016–2018) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-09-30 | OR Governor | D+4.0 | D+6.4 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-09 | OR President | D+10.0 | D+11.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-09 | OR Governor | D+14.0 | D+7.2 | 6.8 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.