Redfield & Wilton Strategies
58 scored general-election polls (2020–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-16 | OH Governor | R+16.0 | R+25.0 | 9.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-16 | OH Senate | R+4.0 | R+6.1 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-31 | National President | D+12.0 | D+4.4 | 7.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-28 | WI President | D+12.0 | D+0.6 | 11.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-28 | PA President | D+5.0 | D+1.2 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-28 | NC President | D+2.0 | R+1.4 | 3.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-28 | MI President | D+13.0 | D+2.8 | 10.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-28 | AZ President | D+4.0 | D+0.3 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | FL President | D+4.0 | R+3.4 | 7.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-25 | National President | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-17 | National President | D+11.0 | D+4.4 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-12 | WI President | D+13.0 | D+0.6 | 12.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-12 | PA President | D+8.0 | D+1.2 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-12 | NC President | D+3.0 | R+1.4 | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-12 | MI President | D+9.0 | D+2.8 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-12 | FL President | D+6.0 | R+3.4 | 9.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-12 | AZ President | D+3.0 | D+0.3 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-10 | National President | D+8.0 | D+4.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-09 | WI President | D+4.0 | D+0.6 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-09 | PA President | D+5.0 | D+1.2 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-09 | NC President | D+7.0 | R+1.4 | 8.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-09 | MI President | D+10.0 | D+2.8 | 7.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-09 | FL President | D+9.0 | R+3.4 | 12.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-09 | AZ President | D+2.0 | D+0.3 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-06 | WI President | D+10.0 | D+0.6 | 9.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-06 | AZ President | D+6.0 | D+0.3 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-05 | PA President | D+7.0 | D+1.2 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-05 | NC President | D+5.0 | R+1.4 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-05 | MI President | D+8.0 | D+2.8 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-05 | FL President | D+5.0 | R+3.4 | 8.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-03 | National President | D+8.0 | D+4.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-26 | National President | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-25 | GA Senate | D+5.0 | R+1.8 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-25 | WI President | D+5.0 | D+0.6 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-25 | NC President | D+2.0 | R+1.4 | 3.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-25 | MI President | D+9.0 | D+2.8 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-25 | GA President | D+1.0 | D+0.2 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-25 | AZ President | D+3.0 | D+0.3 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-24 | PA President | D+6.0 | D+1.2 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-24 | FL President | D+5.0 | R+3.4 | 8.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-22 | National President | D+9.0 | D+4.4 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-20 | CA President | D+34.0 | D+29.2 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-16 | National President | D+7.1 | D+4.4 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-14 | NC Governor | D+19.0 | D+4.5 | 14.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-14 | NC Senate | D+11.0 | R+1.8 | 12.8 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-14 | MN Senate | D+15.0 | D+5.2 | 9.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-14 | GA Senate | Even | R+1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| 2020-09-14 | AZ Senate | D+17.0 | D+2.4 | 14.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-14 | WI President | D+6.0 | D+0.6 | 5.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-14 | NC President | D+2.0 | R+1.4 | 3.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-14 | MN President | D+9.0 | D+7.1 | 1.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-14 | GA President | R+1.0 | D+0.2 | 1.2 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-14 | AZ President | D+5.0 | D+0.3 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-13 | MI Senate | D+16.0 | D+1.7 | 14.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-13 | PA President | D+5.0 | D+1.2 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-13 | MI President | D+10.0 | D+2.8 | 7.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-13 | FL President | D+3.0 | R+3.4 | 6.4 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-07 | National President | D+9.1 | D+4.4 | 4.7 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.