Princeton Survey Research Associates International
5 scored general-election polls (2014–2017) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 1 | 3.9 pts | R+3.9 | 100% |
| 2016 | 1 | 2.3 pts | R+2.3 | 100% |
| 2014 | 3 | 10.1 pts | D+10.1 | 33% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-09-09 | VA Governor | D+5.0 | D+8.9 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-09 | VA President | D+3.0 | D+5.3 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-25 | National Generic Ballot | D+1.0 | R+5.6 | 6.6 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-03 | National Generic Ballot | D+9.0 | R+5.6 | 14.6 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-03 | VA Senate | D+10.0 | D+0.8 | 9.2 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.