Opinium
8 scored general-election polls (2020–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-13 | National Generic Ballot | D+8.0 | R+2.6 | 10.6 | ✗ |
| 2022-09-09 | National Generic Ballot | D+9.0 | R+2.6 | 11.6 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-28 | National Generic Ballot | D+8.0 | D+3.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-28 | National President | D+14.0 | D+4.4 | 9.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-10 | National Generic Ballot | D+11.0 | D+3.0 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-10 | National President | D+17.0 | D+4.4 | 12.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-07 | National Generic Ballot | D+7.5 | D+3.0 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-07 | National President | D+9.0 | D+4.4 | 4.6 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.