Ogden & Fry
3 scored general-election polls (2014–2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-09-07 | IL-3 House | D+2.2 | D+12.8 | 10.6 | ✓ |
| 2014-11-02 | IL Governor | R+3.5 | R+3.9 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2014-11-01 | IL Governor | R+4.8 | R+3.9 | 0.9 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.