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Maine People's Resource Center partisan·D

16 scored general-election polls (2014–2016) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.

Record by cycle

CyclePollsAvg. ErrorLeanWinner Called
2016 12 4.5 pts D+1.9 92%
2014 4 7.7 pts D+5.5 75%

Every scored poll

DateRacePoll MarginActualErrorCalled It
2016-10-25 M2 President R+3.4 R+10.3 6.9 ✓
2016-10-25 M1 President D+11.5 D+14.8 3.3 ✓
2016-10-25 ME President D+5.0 D+3.0 2.0 ✓
2016-10-14 M2 President D+1.2 R+10.3 11.5 ✗
2016-10-14 M1 President D+10.0 D+14.8 4.8 ✓
2016-10-14 ME President D+6.0 D+3.0 3.0 ✓
2016-10-08 M2 President R+1.6 R+10.3 8.7 ✓
2016-10-08 M1 President D+16.4 D+14.8 1.6 ✓
2016-10-08 ME President D+7.9 D+3.0 4.9 ✓
2016-09-16 M2 President R+11.1 R+10.3 0.8 ✓
2016-09-16 M1 President D+10.7 D+14.8 4.1 ✓
2016-09-16 ME President D+0.3 D+3.0 2.7 ✓
2014-11-01 ME-2 House R+0.9 R+5.2 4.3 ✓
2014-11-01 ME-1 House D+25.3 D+29.8 4.5 ✓
2014-11-01 ME Governor D+0.3 R+4.8 5.1 ✗
2014-11-01 ME Senate R+20.1 R+37.0 16.9 ✓

Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.

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