Lucid
46 scored general-election polls (2016–2018) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-10-24 | National Generic Ballot | D+6.0 | D+8.5 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-13 | LA Senate | R+19.6 | R+21.3 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-06 | National President | D+5.0 | D+2.2 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-03 | National President | D+6.0 | D+2.2 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-31 | National President | D+3.0 | D+2.2 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | NV President | D+7.0 | D+2.4 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | NM President | D+8.0 | D+8.2 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | CO President | D+7.0 | D+4.9 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | AZ President | R+1.0 | R+3.6 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | AZ Senate | R+12.0 | R+13.0 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | CO Senate | D+8.0 | D+5.7 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-30 | NV Senate | D+6.0 | D+2.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-28 | National President | D+1.0 | D+2.2 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-25 | National President | D+4.0 | D+2.2 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-22 | National President | D+5.0 | D+2.2 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-19 | National President | D+8.0 | D+2.2 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-18 | LA President | R+3.0 | R+19.6 | 16.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-17 | VA President | D+5.0 | D+5.3 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-17 | NC President | D+1.0 | R+3.7 | 4.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-17 | GA President | D+4.0 | R+5.1 | 9.1 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-17 | FL President | D+6.0 | R+1.2 | 7.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-17 | FL Senate | R+1.0 | R+7.7 | 6.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-17 | GA Senate | R+10.0 | R+13.8 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-17 | NC Senate | R+2.0 | R+5.7 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-17 | NC Governor | D+7.0 | D+0.2 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-16 | National President | D+9.0 | D+2.2 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-13 | National President | D+8.0 | D+2.2 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-10 | National President | D+6.0 | D+2.2 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-09 | PA President | D+9.0 | R+0.7 | 9.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-09 | OH President | D+5.0 | R+8.1 | 13.1 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-09 | IN President | R+6.0 | R+19.2 | 13.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-09 | IA President | D+4.0 | R+9.4 | 13.4 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-09 | IA Senate | R+12.0 | R+24.4 | 12.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-09 | PA Senate | Even | R+1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| 2016-10-09 | IN Senate | D+3.0 | R+9.7 | 12.7 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-09 | OH Senate | R+14.0 | R+20.9 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-07 | National President | D+9.0 | D+2.2 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-04 | National President | D+12.0 | D+2.2 | 9.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-01 | National President | D+5.0 | D+2.2 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-28 | National President | D+10.0 | D+2.2 | 7.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-25 | National President | D+4.0 | D+2.2 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-22 | National President | D+4.0 | D+2.2 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-19 | National President | D+1.0 | D+2.2 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-16 | National President | D+4.0 | D+2.2 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-13 | National President | D+8.0 | D+2.2 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-10 | National President | D+6.0 | D+2.2 | 3.8 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.