Loras College Public Opinion Survey Center
23 scored general-election polls (2014–2016) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-02 | IA-3 House | R+5.0 | R+13.7 | 8.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-02 | IA-1 House | R+6.0 | R+7.7 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-02 | IA President | D+0.8 | R+9.4 | 10.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-11-02 | IA Senate | R+16.2 | R+24.4 | 8.2 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-31 | WI President | D+6.0 | R+0.8 | 6.8 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-31 | WI Senate | D+1.8 | R+3.4 | 5.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-26 | IL President | D+11.0 | D+17.1 | 6.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-26 | IL Senate | D+8.0 | D+15.1 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-04 | WI President | D+8.6 | R+0.8 | 9.4 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-04 | WI Senate | R+5.2 | R+3.4 | 1.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-21 | IA-3 House | R+10.0 | R+13.7 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-21 | IA-1 House | R+7.0 | R+7.7 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-21 | IA President | R+0.6 | R+9.4 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-21 | IA Senate | R+17.1 | R+24.4 | 7.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-15 | IL President | D+13.0 | D+17.1 | 4.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-15 | IL Senate | D+4.7 | D+15.1 | 10.4 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-23 | IA-4 House | R+12.1 | R+23.3 | 11.2 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-23 | IA-3 House | R+2.1 | R+10.5 | 8.4 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-23 | IA-2 House | D+13.4 | D+5.1 | 8.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-23 | IA-1 House | R+1.5 | R+2.3 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-23 | IA Governor | R+20.8 | R+21.7 | 0.9 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-23 | IA Senate | D+1.1 | R+8.3 | 9.4 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-02 | IA Senate | R+0.3 | R+8.3 | 8.0 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.