Long Island University Steven S. Hornstein Center for Policy, Polling, and Analysis
6 scored general-election polls (2020–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-25 | CT Governor | D+31.0 | D+11.4 | 19.6 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-25 | NY Senate | D+27.0 | D+14.0 | 13.0 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-25 | CT Senate | D+25.0 | D+13.1 | 11.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-26 | National President | D+11.0 | D+4.4 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-30 | National President | D+17.0 | D+4.4 | 12.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-25 | National President | D+18.0 | D+4.4 | 13.6 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.