Latino Decisions
5 scored general-election polls (2018–2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-16 | WI President | D+5.0 | D+0.6 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-02 | AZ Senate | D+5.0 | D+2.4 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-02 | AZ President | D+3.0 | D+0.3 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-18 | AZ Governor | R+5.0 | R+14.2 | 9.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-18 | AZ Senate | D+6.0 | D+2.3 | 3.7 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.