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John Zogby Strategies

5 scored general-election polls (2020–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.

Record by cycle

CyclePollsAvg. ErrorLeanWinner Called
2022 1 4.7 pts D+4.7 0%
2020 4 1.0 pts R+0.5 100%

Every scored poll

DateRacePoll MarginActualErrorCalled It
2022-10-05 National Generic Ballot D+2.1 R+2.6 4.7 ✗
2020-11-01 National Generic Ballot D+2.3 D+3.0 0.7 ✓
2020-11-01 National President D+5.4 D+4.4 1.0 ✓
2020-10-02 National Generic Ballot D+2.8 D+3.0 0.2 ✓
2020-10-02 National President D+2.4 D+4.4 2.0 ✓

Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.

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