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Greenberg Quinlan Rosner/American Viewpoint

4 scored general-election polls (2014–2016) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.

Record by cycle

CyclePollsAvg. ErrorLeanWinner Called
2016 2 6.2 pts R+6.1 100%
2014 2 1.0 pts D+0.1 100%

Every scored poll

DateRacePoll MarginActualErrorCalled It
2016-10-26 CA President D+24.0 D+30.1 6.1 ✓
2016-10-26 CA Senate D+17.0 D+23.2 6.2 ✓
2014-10-26 CA Governor D+19.0 D+19.9 0.9 ✓
2014-09-05 CA Governor D+21.0 D+19.9 1.1 ✓

Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.

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