Global Strategy Group/Lester & Associates
3 scored general-election polls (2014–2016) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-10-14 | FL-7 House | D+3.0 | D+3.0 | 0.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-14 | FL-7 House | R+3.0 | D+3.0 | 6.0 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-05 | IL-10 House | D+8.0 | R+2.6 | 10.6 | ✗ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.