Global Strategy Group/GBAO (Navigator Research)
11 scored general-election polls (2020–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-22 | National Generic Ballot | D+3.0 | R+2.6 | 5.6 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-08 | National Generic Ballot | D+5.0 | R+2.6 | 7.6 | ✗ |
| 2022-09-24 | National Generic Ballot | D+6.0 | R+2.6 | 8.6 | ✗ |
| 2022-09-10 | National Generic Ballot | D+6.0 | R+2.6 | 8.6 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-17 | National Generic Ballot | D+8.0 | D+3.0 | 5.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-17 | National President | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-10 | National President | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-04 | National President | D+8.0 | D+4.4 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-27 | National President | D+10.0 | D+4.4 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-19 | National President | D+11.0 | D+4.4 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-12 | National President | D+11.0 | D+4.4 | 6.6 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.