GfK Group
6 scored general-election polls (2014–2016) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-10-22 | National Generic Ballot | D+5.0 | R+1.0 | 6.0 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-22 | National President | D+14.0 | D+2.2 | 11.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-17 | National Generic Ballot | D+4.0 | R+1.0 | 5.0 | ✗ |
| 2016-09-17 | National President | D+6.0 | D+2.2 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-18 | National Generic Ballot | R+8.0 | R+5.6 | 2.4 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-27 | National Generic Ballot | Even | R+5.6 | 5.6 | — |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.