Fort Hays State University Docking Institute of Public Affairs
6 scored general-election polls (2014–2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 1 | 0.3 pts | D+0.3 | 100% |
| 2018 | 1 | 1.1 pts | R+1.1 | 100% |
| 2016 | 3 | 16.7 pts | R+8.3 | 100% |
| 2014 | 1 | 6.0 pts | D+6.0 | 0% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-09-26 | KS President | R+14.4 | R+14.7 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-08 | KS Governor | D+4.0 | D+5.1 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-02 | KS President | R+24.0 | R+20.6 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-02 | KS Senate | R+64.0 | R+29.9 | 34.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-22 | KS President | R+8.0 | R+20.6 | 12.6 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-18 | KS Governor | D+2.3 | R+3.7 | 6.0 | ✗ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.