EMC Research partisan·D
5 scored general-election polls (2014–2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-17 | NC-11 House | D+3.0 | R+12.2 | 15.2 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-29 | TX President | Even | R+5.6 | 5.6 | — |
| 2020-09-23 | NC-11 House | D+4.0 | R+12.2 | 16.2 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-04 | TX-25 House | R+2.0 | R+13.8 | 11.8 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-25 | MI-6 House | R+4.0 | R+15.5 | 11.5 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.