Dixie Strategies
11 scored general-election polls (2016–2018) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-10-29 | NY-25 House | D+9.1 | D+20.4 | 11.3 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-29 | NY-27 House | R+7.2 | D+4.8 | 12.0 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-25 | UT-4 House | D+6.5 | D+0.3 | 6.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-25 | TX Governor | R+26.0 | R+13.3 | 12.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-25 | TX Senate | R+10.0 | R+2.6 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-06 | TX Governor | R+18.9 | R+13.3 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-06 | TX Senate | R+4.1 | R+2.6 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-28 | TX President | R+12.1 | R+9.0 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-25 | FL President | R+3.3 | R+1.2 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-25 | FL Senate | R+5.6 | R+7.7 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-30 | TX President | R+6.9 | R+9.0 | 2.1 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.