Dittman Research
4 scored general-election polls (2014–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-02 | AK-1 House | D+12.0 | D+9.9 | 2.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-23 | AK Governor | R+26.0 | R+26.1 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-10 | AK-1 House | D+15.2 | D+9.9 | 5.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-16 | AK Senate | R+5.0 | R+2.1 | 2.9 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.