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Columbus Dispatch

4 scored general-election polls (2014–2016) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.

Record by cycle

CyclePollsAvg. ErrorLeanWinner Called
2016 2 4.6 pts D+4.5 50%
2014 2 1.6 pts D+1.6 100%

Every scored poll

DateRacePoll MarginActualErrorCalled It
2016-10-31 OH President D+1.0 R+8.1 9.1 ✗
2016-10-31 OH Senate R+21.0 R+20.9 0.1 ✓
2014-10-26 OH Governor R+28.0 R+30.6 2.6 ✓
2014-09-07 OH Governor R+30.0 R+30.6 0.6 ✓

Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.

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