brilliant corners Research & Strategies
5 scored general-election polls (2020–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-19 | PA-17 House | D+6.0 | D+6.8 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-13 | SC Senate | D+2.0 | R+10.3 | 12.3 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-28 | NC-8 House | R+2.0 | R+6.6 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-23 | SC Senate | D+2.0 | R+10.3 | 12.3 | ✗ |
| 2020-09-13 | AR-2 House | D+2.0 | R+10.7 | 12.7 | ✗ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.