Abt Associates
7 scored general-election polls (2014–2017) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 1 | 10.6 pts | D+10.6 | 0% |
| 2016 | 2 | 2.2 pts | D+0.9 | 100% |
| 2014 | 4 | 4.8 pts | D+4.8 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-06-07 | GA-6 House | D+7.0 | R+3.6 | 10.6 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-19 | GA President | R+2.0 | R+5.1 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-19 | GA Senate | R+15.0 | R+13.8 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-20 | GA Governor | R+5.0 | R+7.9 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2014-10-20 | GA Senate | R+2.0 | R+7.7 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-10 | GA Governor | R+1.0 | R+7.9 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 2014-09-10 | GA Senate | R+4.0 | R+7.7 | 3.7 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.