Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 11, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Cooke ✓ | 56,546 | 60.5% | |
| Emily Berge | 36,832 | 39.4% | |
| Total Write-ins | 55 | 0.1% |
Republican Primary
Held August 11, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Van Orden ✓ | — | — |
Full calendar and every race: Wisconsin primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Derrick Van Orden Nominee Incumbent
Republican
General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FM3 Research D-sponsored | 2026-06-25 | Rebecca Cooke 50.00% | Derrick Van Orden 46.00% | ||
| FM3 Research (D) | 2026-06-25 | 535 LV | ±4.40 | Rebecca Cooke 50.00% | Derrick Van Orden 46.00% |
| Impact Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-05-31 | 500 LV | ±4.40 | Rebecca Cooke 50.00% | Derrick Van Orden 46.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 WI-03 House race?
Rebecca Cooke leads Derrick Van Orden 50% to 46% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+4.0 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 WI-03 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 WI-03 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from FM3 Research (completed June 25, 2026), found Rebecca Cooke (D) at 50% and Derrick Van Orden (R) at 46%.
When is the 2026 WI-03 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 29 min ago
Top Spenders
- HMP Dem-aligned $4,173,177
- SAFETY & AFFORDABILITY PAC INC. GOP-aligned $1,601,540
- EDF ACTION VOTES Dem-aligned $737,315
- LCV VICTORY FUND Dem-aligned $678,187
- AMERICAN MAJORITY ACTION PAC GOP-aligned $502,035
- AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $459,269
- TOMORROW TOGETHER Dem-aligned $368,210
- EDW ACTION FUND Dem-aligned $299,632
- AMERICA FIRST AGRICULTURE ACTION INC. GOP-aligned $281,427
- IN UNION USA Dem-aligned $270,338
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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