Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 4, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elaine G. Luria ✓ | 32,885 | 80.4% | |
| S. "Dr. Nila" Devanath | 6,623 | 16.2% | |
| William W. "Bill" Fleming | 830 | 2.0% | |
| Patrick B. Mosolf | 552 | 1.4% |
Republican Primary
Held August 4, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jen Kiggans ✓ | — | — |
Full calendar and every race: Virginia primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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General Election Polling Average
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Newport University | 2026-10-10 | 702 LV | ±4.00 | Elaine Luria 46.00% | Jen Kiggans 43.00% |
| Tulchin Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-07-13 | 700 LV | Elaine Luria 47.00% | Jen Kiggans 47.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 VA-02 House race?
Elaine Luria leads Jen Kiggans 46.5% to 45% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+1.5 margin based on 2 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 VA-02 House race competitive?
Yes — the PollingSource polling average rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 VA-02 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Christopher Newport University (completed October 10, 2026), found Elaine Luria (D) at 46% and Jen Kiggans (R) at 43%.
When is the 2026 VA-02 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 32 min ago
Top Spenders
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $2,121,658
- HMP Dem-aligned $2,069,710
- GIFFORDS PAC Dem-aligned $921,967
- DMFI PAC Dem-aligned $900,382
- AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $489,268
- 314 ACTION FUND Dem-aligned $373,865
- PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT Dem-aligned $321,322
- AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF NURSE ANESTHETISTS SEPARATE SEGREGATED FUND (CRNA-PAC) GOP-aligned $260,293
- CFFE PAC Dem-aligned $249,737
- VOTEVETS Dem-aligned $210,000
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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