Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 4, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elaine G. Luria ✓ | 32,885 | 80.4% | |
| S. "Dr. Nila" Devanath | 6,623 | 16.2% | |
| William W. "Bill" Fleming | 830 | 2.0% | |
| Patrick B. Mosolf | 552 | 1.4% |
Full calendar and every race: Virginia primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Jen Kiggans Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanGeneral Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (n=1), not a 30-day mean; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulchin Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-07-13 | 700 LV | Elaine Luria 47.00% | Jen Kiggans 47.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 VA-02 House race?
Elaine Luria (D) and Jen Kiggans (R) are tied at 47% in the PollingSource polling average, based on the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 VA-02 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates it Lean R, the current rating band, and the race is competitive.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 VA-02 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Tulchin Research (D) (completed July 13, 2026), found Elaine Luria (D) at 47% and Jen Kiggans (R) at 47%.
When is the 2026 VA-02 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the newest qualifying scientific public poll of the locked matchup — there were no scientific polls in the last 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- HMP Dem-aligned $1,398,798
- GIFFORDS PAC Dem-aligned $921,967
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $916,839
- DMFI PAC Dem-aligned $900,382
- AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $340,394
- 314 ACTION FUND Dem-aligned $299,072
- AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF NURSE ANESTHETISTS SEPARATE SEGREGATED FUND (CRNA-PAC) GOP-aligned $260,293
- PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT Dem-aligned $210,257
- ROLLING SEA ACTION FUND Dem-aligned $150,000
- CASA IN ACTION PAC Dem-aligned $128,213
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
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