Primary
Primary held June 23, 2026 — results pending.
Full calendar and every race: New York primary guide
Race Overview
Candidates
Average reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D) partisan·D D-sponsored | 2026-07-26 | 500 LV | ±4.40 | Pat Ryan 53.00% | Jacqueline Auringer 39.00% |
Questions About This Race
Is the 2026 NY-18 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates it Lean D: Democrats are favored, but the race is competitive.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 NY-18 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Global Strategy Group (D) (completed July 26, 2026), found Pat Ryan (D) at 53% and Jacqueline Auringer (R) at 39%.
When is the 2026 NY-18 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 3 hours ago
Top Spenders
- NEW YORK STATE COMMITTEE OF THE WORKING FAMILIES PARTY Dem-aligned $875
- PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES Dem-aligned $62
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.