Primary
Democratic Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Smith Jr. ✓ | 23,552 | 56.7% | |
| Allison Jaslow | 18,020 | 43.3% |
Republican Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Murphy ✓ | — | — |
Full calendar and every race: North Carolina primary guide
Race Overview
Candidates
Greg Murphy Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanAverage reflects all polls from the last 30 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulchin Research (D) partisan·D | 2026-08-02 | 600 LV | ±4.00 | Raymond Smith Jr. 41.00% | Greg Murphy 44.00% |
Questions About This Race
Is the 2026 NC-03 House race competitive?
It is not considered a top-tier battleground: the expert consensus rates it Likely R, meaning Republicans are clearly favored but an upset is not impossible.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 NC-03 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Tulchin Research (D) (completed August 2, 2026), found Raymond Smith Jr. (D) at 41% and Greg Murphy (R) at 44%.
When is the 2026 NC-03 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 30 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 5 hours ago
Top Spenders
- AB PAC Dem-aligned $326,162
- ADVANCE NORTH CAROLINA Dem-aligned $6,642
- RED WINE AND BLUE Dem-aligned $126
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.