Primary
Democratic Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Moskowitz ✓ | 28,294 | 63.5% | |
| Oliver Adams Larkin | 16,284 | 36.5% |
Republican Primary
Held August 18, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Singer ✓ | 11,882 | 31.4% | |
| George R. Moraitis | 10,374 | 27.4% | |
| Dan Franzese | 9,706 | 25.6% | |
| Joseph "Joe" Kaufman | 4,699 | 12.4% | |
| Raven Harrison | 1,192 | 3.2% |
Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Jared Moskowitz Nominee Incumbent
Democrat
General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (n=1), not a 30-day mean; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
No polls in the last 90 days.
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 FL-25 House race?
the Democrat leads the Republican 43% to 33% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+10.0 margin based on the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 FL-25 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates it Lean R, the current rating band, and the race is competitive.
When is the 2026 FL-25 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the newest qualifying scientific public poll of the locked matchup — there were no scientific polls in the last 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated just now
Top Spenders
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $7,519,653
- HMP Dem-aligned $2,153,183
- DEFENDING OUR VALUES PAC Mixed $1,542,261
- LCV VICTORY FUND Dem-aligned $339,785
- THINK BIG Dem-aligned $321,574
- AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $295,593
- NEW DEMOCRAT MAJORITY Dem-aligned $250,000
- CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP FOR FLORIDA GOP-aligned $158,500
- PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT Dem-aligned $81,983
- CITIZENS FOR A MORE AFFORDABLE FLORIDA Dem-aligned $75,255
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
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