Florida District 16

FL-16 • 2026 Election
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Primary

Primary election: Tuesday, August 18, 2026

Full calendar and every race: Florida primary guide

Race Overview

Incumbent
Vern Buchanan
Party
Republican
Current Rating
Safe R expert avg
Open Seat
No
Cook PVI
R+10

Race Ratings

Consensus Rating

Safe R

Individual forecaster ratings will be updated as they become available.

Candidates

Vernon Buchanan

Vernon Buchanan Incumbent

Republican
Total Raised: $920,020
Cash on Hand: $1,438,239

Glenn Pearson

Democrat
Total Raised: $41,376
Cash on Hand: $8,778

Jan Schneider

Democrat
Total Raised: $21,271
Cash on Hand: $58,920

Jonathan Harris

Democrat
Total Raised: $80,797
Cash on Hand: $31,755

Kelly Kirschner

Democrat
Total Raised: $223,280
Cash on Hand: $166,281

Tamika Lyles

Democrat
Total Raised: $121,150
Cash on Hand: $81,206

Mark Davis

O
Total Raised: $41,739
Cash on Hand: $691

Edward Pope

Republican
Total Raised: $36,748
Cash on Hand: $23,037

Jason Speir

Republican
Total Raised: $42,475
Cash on Hand: $18,469

John Peters

Republican
Total Raised: $166,022
Cash on Hand: $101,646

Sydney Gruters

Republican
Total Raised: $971,068
Cash on Hand: $838,262

Average reflects all polls from the last 90 days; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →

No polls in the last 90 days.

Questions About This Race

Is the 2026 FL-16 House race competitive?

No — the expert consensus rates it Safe R for Republicans.

When is the 2026 FL-16 House race decided?

Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.

How is the PollingSource average calculated?

The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of every scientific public poll of the race from the last 90 days — we do not exclude pollsters. Each race page lists the individual polls behind the average with pollster, field dates, sample size, and margin of error. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.

Race News

No news coverage yet for this race.