Primary
Democratic Primary
Held July 21, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JoAnna Mendoza ✓ | — | — |
Republican Primary
Held July 21, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Ciscomani ✓ | — | — |
Green Primary
Held July 21, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Swing | — | — |
Libertarian Primary
Held July 21, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jereme Lance Peters | — | — |
Full calendar and every race: Arizona primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
PollingSource average — the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer when fewer exist, not a 30-day mean. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling (D) partisan·D 2024 err 2.0 | 2025-10-15 | 581 LV | JoAnna Mendoza 42.00% | Juan Ciscomani 41.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 AZ-06 House race?
JoAnna Mendoza leads Juan Ciscomani 42% to 41% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+1.0 margin based on the last three qualifying polls of the locked matchup, or fewer (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 AZ-06 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates this race a Toss-up, the most competitive category.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 AZ-06 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Public Policy Polling (D) (completed October 15, 2025), found JoAnna Mendoza (D) at 42% and Juan Ciscomani (R) at 41%.
When is the 2026 AZ-06 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the last three qualifying scientific public polls of the locked matchup, or fewer — the newest of them is older than 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean and it does not set the rating. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 31 min ago
Top Spenders
- HMP Dem-aligned $2,646,831
- AMERICANS FOR PROSPERITY ACTION, INC. (AFP ACTION) DBA CVA ACTION AND DBA LIBRE ACTION GOP-aligned $579,985
- VOTEVETS Dem-aligned $572,500
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $557,482
- AMERICAN MAJORITY ACTION PAC GOP-aligned $497,114
- AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $453,195
- SAFETY & AFFORDABILITY PAC INC. GOP-aligned $416,667
- AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIPAL EMPLOYEES P E O P L E Dem-aligned $416,500
- TOMORROW TOGETHER Dem-aligned $357,585
- AMERICA FIRST AGRICULTURE ACTION INC. GOP-aligned $352,797
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
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