Primary
Democratic Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby Pulido ✓ | 36,820 | 67.5% | |
| Ada Cuellar | 17,698 | 32.5% |
Republican Primary
Held March 3, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monica De La Cruz ✓ | 30,083 | 100.0% |
Full calendar and every race: Texas primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
PollingSource average — newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days). This is an average, not a forecast.
Share
Race page
Candidates
Monica De La Cruz Nominee Incumbent
Republican
General Election Polling Average
No scientific polls in the last 30 days — the figure is the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (n=1), not a 30-day mean; table shows the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more — subscribe for the full history. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Research/Texas Southern University | 2026-08-22 | 700 LV | ±3.70 | Bobby Pulido 50.00% | Monica De La Cruz 45.00% |
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center at Texas Southern University | 2026-08-22 | 700 LV | Bobby Pulido 50.00% | Monica De La Cruz 45.00% | |
| Normington Petts (D) partisan·D | 2026-07-27 | 553 LV | Bobby Pulido 51.00% | Monica De La Cruz 45.00% |
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 TX-15 House race?
Bobby Pulido leads Monica De La Cruz 50% to 45% in the PollingSource polling average — a D+5.0 margin based on the newest qualifying poll of the locked matchup (no polls in the last 30 days).
Is the 2026 TX-15 House race competitive?
Yes — the expert consensus rates it Lean R, the current rating band, and the race is competitive.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 TX-15 House race say?
The most recent public poll, from Public Policy Research/Texas Southern University (completed August 22, 2026), found Bobby Pulido (D) at 50% and Monica De La Cruz (R) at 45%.
When is the 2026 TX-15 House race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average on this page is the newest qualifying scientific public poll of the locked matchup — there were no scientific polls in the last 30 days, so this is not a 30-day mean. We do not exclude pollsters. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
Independent Expenditures Updated 4 hours ago
Top Spenders
- NO GOING BACK PAC INC. GOP-aligned $2,510,607
- HMP Dem-aligned $1,860,298
- BDA PAC Dem-aligned $997,769
- AB PAC Dem-aligned $342,625
- EDF ACTION VOTES Dem-aligned $180,170
- AMERICA PAC GOP-aligned $141,635
- WELCOMEPAC Dem-aligned $108,791
- LATINO VICTORY FUND Dem-aligned $82,500
- PROJECT 218 Dem-aligned $56,219
- PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT Dem-aligned $53,100
Full outside-spending research — every committee, every race →
Race News
No news coverage yet for this race.