Primary
Democratic Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Terri Pickens ✓ | 30,331 | 61.4% | |
| Jill Kirkham | 8,377 | 17.0% | |
| Maxine Durand | 7,178 | 14.5% | |
| Chanelle Torrez | 3,500 | 7.1% |
Republican Primary
Held May 19, 2026.
| Candidate | Votes | % | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Little ✓ | 140,778 | 59.0% | |
| Mark Fitzpatrick | 68,546 | 28.7% | |
| Lisa Marie | 7,215 | 3.0% | |
| Justin Plante | 5,286 | 2.2% | |
| Sean Crystal | 4,558 | 1.9% | |
| Ron James | 4,510 | 1.9% | |
| Daniel Fowler | 4,197 | 1.8% | |
| Ethan Giles | 3,672 | 1.5% |
Full calendar and every race: Idaho primary guide
Race Overview
General Election Polling Trend
Showing the published average. The rating above uses this figure.
The right edge is that same average of the last three polls. This is an average, not a forecast.
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Candidates
Terri Pickens Nominee
Democrat
Brad Little Nominee Incumbent
RepublicanJohn R. Stegner Nominee
IndependentGeneral Election Polling Average
LV = likely voters · RV = registered voters · ± = margin of error · R-sponsored / D-sponsored / I-sponsored = paid for by a Republican, Democratic, or Independent group · "missed 2024 by X pts" = that firm's average miss in 2024
Average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls. Fewer than three uses the polls that exist. The rating uses that average when the newest poll ended in the last 30 days. The table lists the polls in that average, plus the most recent 30 days or the newest 3 polls, whichever is more. How accurate is each pollster? →
| Pollster | Date | Sample | MoE | Dem | Rep |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VoteNexus Research In average | 2026-10-22 this poll | 700 LV | ±4.50 | Terri Pickens 30.00% | Brad Little 49.00% |
| All candidates (full ballot): Brad Little (R) 49% · Terri Pickens (D) 30% · John Stegner (I) 10% · Undecided 7% | |||||
| Advanced Targeting Research In average | 2026-09-16 this poll | 700 RV | ±3.70 | Terri Pickens 27.00% | Brad Little 37.00% |
| All candidates (full ballot): Brad Little (R) 37% · Terri Pickens (D) 27% · John Stegner (I) 13% · Others 13% · Undecided 20% | |||||
| Change Research (D) D-sponsored In average | 2026-07-30 this poll | 1213 LV | ±3.00 | Terri Pickens 27.00% | Brad Little 48.00% |
| All candidates (full ballot): Brad Little (R) 48% · Terri Pickens (D) 27% · John Stegner (I) 11% · Others 11% · Undecided 13% | |||||
Questions About This Race
Who is winning the 2026 Idaho governor's race?
Brad Little leads Terri Pickens 44.7% to 28% in the PollingSource polling average — a R+16.7 margin based on 3 polls, the last three or fewer.
Is the 2026 Idaho governor's race competitive?
No — the PollingSource polling average rates it Safe R for Republicans.
What does the latest poll of the 2026 Idaho governor's race say?
The most recent poll in our average, from VoteNexus Research (completed October 22, 2026), found Terri Pickens (D) at 30% and Brad Little (R) at 49%.
When is the 2026 Idaho governor's race decided?
Election Day is Tuesday, November 3, 2026.
How is the PollingSource average calculated?
The PollingSource average is the unweighted mean of the last three scientific public polls, or fewer when fewer exist. One poll sets the rating when it ended in the last 30 days. We do not exclude pollsters. The table lists recent polls, including ones older than those three. Full details: pollingsource.com/methodology.
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