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WRAL-TV/SurveyUSA

3 scored general-election polls (2024) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.

Record by cycle

CyclePollsAvg. ErrorLeanWinner Called
2024 3 4.2 pts D+4.2 0%

Every scored poll

DateRacePoll MarginActualErrorCalled It
2024-10-26 NC President Even R+3.2 3.2 —
2024-10-26 NC President Even R+3.2 3.2 —
2024-09-07 NC President D+3.0 R+3.2 6.2 ✗

Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.

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