USA Today/Suffolk
12 scored general-election polls (2024) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12 | 2.4 pts | D+2.3 | 50% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-30 | PA President | Even | R+1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| 2024-10-30 | PA President | Even | R+1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| 2024-10-27 | MI President | Even | R+1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| 2024-10-27 | MI President | Even | R+1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| 2024-10-23 | WI President | R+1.0 | R+0.9 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-23 | WI President | R+1.0 | R+0.9 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2024-10-18 | National President | D+1.0 | R+1.5 | 2.5 | ✗ |
| 2024-10-18 | National President | D+1.0 | R+1.5 | 2.5 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-24 | AZ President | R+6.0 | R+5.5 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2024-09-19 | MI President | D+3.0 | R+1.4 | 4.4 | ✗ |
| 2024-09-14 | PA President | D+3.0 | R+1.7 | 4.7 | ✗ |
| 2024-08-11 | FL President | R+5.0 | R+13.1 | 8.1 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.