University of Utah Hinckley Institute of Politics
5 scored general-election polls (2018) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 5 | 5.8 pts | R+3.9 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-10-10 | UT-2 House | R+23.0 | R+17.2 | 5.8 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-07 | UT-4 House | Even | D+0.3 | 0.3 | — |
| 2018-10-06 | UT-3 House | R+54.0 | R+40.2 | 13.8 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-06 | UT-1 House | R+32.0 | R+36.7 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-06 | UT Senate | R+36.0 | R+31.7 | 4.3 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.