University of Nevada, Las Vegas Lee Business School
6 scored general-election polls (2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 6 | 3.1 pts | D+1.1 | 67% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-01-01 | GA Senate | R+1.1 | D+1.2 | 2.3 | ✗ |
| 2021-01-01 | GA Senate | R+0.9 | D+2.1 | 3.0 | ✗ |
| 2020-11-01 | N2 President | D+5.9 | D+6.5 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-11-01 | NE-2 House | R+1.1 | R+4.6 | 3.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-20 | NV President | D+9.0 | D+2.4 | 6.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-09-18 | NV President | D+5.0 | D+2.4 | 2.6 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.