Swayable
68 scored general-election polls (2020) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 68 | 5.8 pts | D+5.2 | 93% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-11-01 | National President | D+5.7 | D+4.4 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | NC Governor | D+12.5 | D+4.5 | 8.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | TX Senate | R+13.0 | R+9.6 | 3.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | NC Senate | D+6.4 | R+1.8 | 8.2 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-30 | TX President | R+4.0 | R+5.6 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | PA President | D+1.5 | D+1.2 | 0.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-30 | NC President | D+5.9 | R+1.4 | 7.3 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-30 | FL President | D+7.5 | R+3.4 | 10.9 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-30 | National President | D+5.6 | D+4.4 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | VA Senate | D+21.4 | D+12.1 | 9.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | MI Senate | D+7.2 | D+1.7 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | GA Senate | R+1.3 | R+1.8 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | AZ Senate | D+10.0 | D+2.4 | 7.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | AL Senate | R+15.3 | R+20.4 | 5.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | WI President | D+9.7 | D+0.6 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | VA President | D+15.0 | D+10.1 | 4.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | OH President | R+5.2 | R+8.0 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | NJ President | D+18.9 | D+15.9 | 3.0 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | MI President | D+8.7 | D+2.8 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | IN President | R+12.2 | R+16.1 | 3.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | IL President | D+11.5 | D+17.0 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | GA President | D+9.3 | D+0.2 | 9.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | AZ President | D+4.9 | D+0.3 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-29 | AL President | R+17.2 | R+25.5 | 8.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | WA Governor | D+18.2 | D+13.4 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | TN Senate | R+21.4 | R+27.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | SC Senate | D+5.9 | R+10.3 | 16.2 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-27 | MN Senate | D+9.0 | D+5.2 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | KY Senate | R+2.8 | R+19.5 | 16.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | CO Senate | D+13.8 | D+9.3 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | WA President | D+20.3 | D+19.2 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | TN President | R+16.7 | R+23.2 | 6.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | SC President | R+0.9 | R+11.7 | 10.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | OR President | D+23.2 | D+16.1 | 7.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | MO President | R+11.2 | R+15.4 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | MN President | D+9.3 | D+7.1 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | MD President | D+35.9 | D+33.2 | 2.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | LA President | R+17.5 | R+18.6 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | KY President | R+13.5 | R+25.9 | 12.4 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | CT President | D+30.4 | D+20.1 | 10.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | CO President | D+14.7 | D+13.5 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-27 | National President | D+7.2 | D+4.4 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | NC Governor | D+9.0 | D+4.5 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | VA Senate | D+19.4 | D+12.1 | 7.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | TX Senate | R+4.8 | R+9.6 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | NJ Senate | D+22.0 | D+16.3 | 5.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | NC Senate | R+0.6 | R+1.8 | 1.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | MI Senate | D+16.8 | D+1.7 | 15.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | GA Senate | R+1.6 | R+1.8 | 0.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | AZ Senate | D+11.6 | D+2.4 | 9.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | AL Senate | R+8.8 | R+20.4 | 11.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | WI President | D+8.8 | D+0.6 | 8.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | VA President | D+10.9 | D+10.1 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | TX President | R+1.1 | R+5.6 | 4.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | PA President | D+5.8 | D+1.2 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | OH President | R+11.7 | R+8.0 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | NY President | D+32.6 | D+22.1 | 10.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | NJ President | D+24.1 | D+15.9 | 8.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | NC President | D+2.7 | R+1.4 | 4.1 | ✗ |
| 2020-10-25 | MI President | D+19.0 | D+2.8 | 16.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | IN President | R+10.6 | R+16.1 | 5.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | IL President | D+11.1 | D+17.0 | 5.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | GA President | D+2.4 | D+0.2 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | FL President | R+4.2 | R+3.4 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | CA President | D+26.7 | D+29.2 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | AZ President | D+8.6 | D+0.3 | 8.3 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | AL President | R+18.6 | R+25.5 | 6.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | National President | D+5.7 | D+4.4 | 1.3 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.