Strategic Research Associates
10 scored general-election polls (2018) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 10 | 3.4 pts | D+1.8 | 70% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-10-20 | FL Governor | R+3.0 | R+0.4 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-20 | FL Senate | D+1.0 | R+0.1 | 1.1 | ✗ |
| 2018-10-16 | ND-1 House | R+21.0 | R+24.6 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-16 | WV Senate | D+16.0 | D+3.3 | 12.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-16 | ND Senate | R+16.0 | R+10.8 | 5.2 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-23 | FL Governor | D+1.0 | R+0.4 | 1.4 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-23 | FL Senate | D+1.0 | R+0.1 | 1.1 | ✗ |
| 2018-09-22 | ND-1 House | R+24.0 | R+24.6 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-22 | ND Senate | R+10.0 | R+10.8 | 0.8 | ✓ |
| 2018-09-21 | WV Senate | D+8.0 | D+3.3 | 4.7 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.