Southern Media & Opinion Research
3 scored general-election polls (2016) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 3 | 5.1 pts | D+5.1 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-29 | LA Senate | R+14.0 | R+21.3 | 7.3 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-20 | LA President | R+15.0 | R+19.6 | 4.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-16 | LA President | R+16.3 | R+19.6 | 3.3 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.