Schoen Cooperman Research partisan·D
3 scored general-election polls (2021–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | 1.3 pts | R+1.3 | 100% |
| 2021 | 2 | 5.9 pts | D+5.9 | 50% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-10 | NY Governor | D+6.0 | D+7.3 | 1.3 | ✓ |
| 2021-10-11 | VA Governor | D+4.0 | R+1.9 | 5.9 | ✗ |
| 2021-10-11 | NJ Governor | D+9.0 | D+3.2 | 5.8 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.