Saint Anselm College Survey Center
21 scored general-election polls (2018–2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 8 | 4.5 pts | R+4.0 | 75% |
| 2020 | 10 | 3.5 pts | D+3.0 | 100% |
| 2018 | 3 | 5.7 pts | D+3.7 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-28 | NH-2 House | D+8.0 | D+11.7 | 3.7 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-28 | NH-1 House | R+6.0 | D+8.1 | 14.1 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-28 | NH Governor | R+18.0 | R+15.5 | 2.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-28 | NH Senate | R+1.0 | D+9.1 | 10.1 | ✗ |
| 2022-09-27 | NH-2 House | D+14.0 | D+11.7 | 2.3 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-27 | NH-1 House | D+8.0 | D+8.1 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-27 | NH Governor | R+16.0 | R+15.5 | 0.5 | ✓ |
| 2022-09-27 | NH Senate | D+6.0 | D+9.1 | 3.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | NH-2 House | D+15.0 | D+10.2 | 4.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | NH-1 House | D+5.0 | D+5.1 | 0.1 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | NH Governor | R+25.0 | R+31.8 | 6.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | NH Senate | D+15.0 | D+15.7 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-25 | NH President | D+8.0 | D+7.4 | 0.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-03 | NH-2 House | D+14.0 | D+10.2 | 3.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-03 | NH-1 House | D+8.0 | D+5.1 | 2.9 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-03 | NH Governor | R+23.0 | R+31.8 | 8.8 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-03 | NH Senate | D+14.0 | D+15.7 | 1.7 | ✓ |
| 2020-10-03 | NH President | D+12.0 | D+7.4 | 4.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-12 | NH-2 House | D+27.1 | D+13.4 | 13.7 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-12 | NH-1 House | D+8.9 | D+8.6 | 0.4 | ✓ |
| 2018-10-12 | NH Governor | R+10.0 | R+7.0 | 3.0 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.