RKM Research and Communications Inc.
4 scored general-election polls (2016) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 4 | 1.2 pts | D+0.8 | 100% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-11-03 | National Generic Ballot | R+1.6 | R+1.0 | 0.6 | ✓ |
| 2016-11-03 | National President | D+3.2 | D+2.2 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2016-10-11 | National President | D+5.0 | D+2.2 | 2.8 | ✓ |
| 2016-09-20 | National President | D+2.0 | D+2.2 | 0.2 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.