Praecones Analytica
3 scored general-election polls (2016) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 3 | 1.8 pts | R+1.8 | 33% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-10-27 | NH President | R+1.7 | D+0.4 | 2.1 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-27 | NH Senate | R+2.1 | D+0.1 | 2.2 | ✗ |
| 2016-10-27 | NH Governor | R+3.4 | R+2.3 | 1.1 | ✓ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.