Patriot Polling
10 scored general-election polls (2022) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 10 | 6.0 pts | R+6.0 | 60% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-01 | GA Senate | D+1.7 | D+2.8 | 1.1 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-04 | PA Governor | D+6.5 | D+14.8 | 8.3 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-04 | PA Senate | R+3.3 | D+4.9 | 8.2 | ✗ |
| 2022-11-02 | NY Governor | D+5.1 | D+7.3 | 2.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-11-01 | AZ Senate | D+0.7 | D+4.9 | 4.2 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-22 | WI Governor | R+4.4 | D+3.4 | 7.8 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-22 | WI Senate | R+8.4 | R+1.0 | 7.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-11 | PA Governor | D+5.4 | D+14.8 | 9.4 | ✓ |
| 2022-10-11 | PA Senate | R+1.6 | D+4.9 | 6.5 | ✗ |
| 2022-10-08 | PA-8 House | R+2.5 | D+2.5 | 5.0 | ✗ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.