Opinion Research Associates
6 scored general-election polls (2014) , each measured against the certified result. How to read these numbers: methodology.
Record by cycle
| Cycle | Polls | Avg. Error | Lean | Winner Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 6 | 18.2 pts | D+18.2 | 0% |
Every scored poll
| Date | Race | Poll Margin | Actual | Error | Called It |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-10-31 | AR Governor | D+4.0 | R+13.9 | 17.9 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-31 | AR Senate | D+2.0 | R+17.1 | 19.1 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-25 | AR Governor | D+2.0 | R+13.9 | 15.9 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-25 | AR Senate | D+1.0 | R+17.1 | 18.1 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-03 | AR Governor | D+4.0 | R+13.9 | 17.9 | ✗ |
| 2014-10-03 | AR Senate | D+3.0 | R+17.1 | 20.1 | ✗ |
Margins shown as party lead (D+/R+); for non-D-vs-R matchups the margin is first-listed candidate minus second. Historical scored-poll data for cycles through 2023 from FiveThirtyEight's pollster-ratings dataset (CC-BY-4.0); 2024 scored by PollingSource. This record never changes what enters the PollingSource average.